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Vendredi 1 février 2019The political map drawnn by the French still haunts SyriaExcept for Western Syria, the country is still largely beyond the control of the Assad regime.
The Jerusalem Post, February 1, 2019 12:50
The war in Syria is not over yet. Indeed, the Bashar Assad Ba’athist-Alawite regime has been salvaged in Western Syria, the most populated part of the country. However, this was not been achieved by the regime’s itself, but rather by foreign protectors – Russia, Iran and Hezbollah, the Shi’ite state-within-the-state in Lebanon – that provided fighters or firepower or both. And there are still large pockets of Sunni insurgency in the northwest. While some of these areas are now de facto under Turkish supervision, others are still operated by independent Syrian Sunni militias.
Until recently, the YPG relied ultimately on American logistical and tactical support. American assistance was crucial in defeating ISIS at Kobani in 2015, under the Obama administration, and in the reconquest of the ISIS capital Raqqa in 2017, under the Trump administration. Russia also extended some measure of support at times. On the other hand, Turkey, Iran and Shi’ite-dominated Iraq have constantly opposed Rojava/DFNS and are clearly tempted to wipe it out now that American personnel are about to leave the area. Turkey has already taken advantage of the new situation by wresting from the Kurds their westernmost outpost in Afrin. But it has been apparently advised by the US and Russia alike not to interfere with Trans-Euphrates Syria proper.
© Michel Gurfinkiel & The Jerusalem Post, 2019
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